Strategy: Government ZEV mandate

Force civilian federal, provincial, and municipality-owned fleets to transition almost completely to EVs

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  • Cost per removed/avoided tonne CO2e: -0.00 CAD / metric_ton
  • Net Present CO2e @ 2.0%: -108054.260 kiloton (negative means reduction)
  • Net Present Heat @ 2.0%: -24.936 exajoule (negative means reduction)
  • Net Present Value @ 2.0%: 0.000 megaCAD (negative means non-profitable)

Table of Contents:

  1. Expected Policy Rollout
  2. National Emissions Impact

Expected Policy Rollout

Modelling assumptions

  • Government vehicle fleet produces about 2.5% of all Light-Duty Gasoline emissions
  • National vehicle fleet size scales with national population
  • Vehicles don't get cheaper, average vehicle TCO is equal for ICE and ZEV (conservative).

Input assumption: the shape of the fraction of vehicle roles transitioning to ZEVs.

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Estimated CO2 emissions from government light-duty gasoline trucks (TODO: include grid emissions, and at least note [externalized] manufacturing emissions).

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National Emissions Impact

Below: the impact of this strategy on atmospheric CO2 concentration.

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Below: the difference in global heat forcing. The datapoints in this curve are used to compute the Net Present Heat for the project, by adding up the energy associated with each year (modulated by the future discount factor).

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In terms of temperature, the difference in global heat forcing can be quantified as equivalent to a small change in (upward) temperature trajectory for the top 200m of the world's oceans.

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